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Amgen CEO Gives Update, Discusses Patent Dispute with Roche

February 8, 2007--Amgen Chairman and CEO Kevin Sharer took the podium at the Merrill Lynch Global Pharmaceutical, Biotechnology and Medical Device Conference in New York last Thursday. Sharer opened the session by saying the company is proud of what it delivered in 2006. Its 2006 revenue and adjusted earnings per share grew an impressive 15% and 22%, respectively. The period also saw the launch of Vectibix (panitumumab) for the treatment of EGFR-expressing metastatic colorectal cancer, with early results beating expectations.  

Also in 2006, Amgen closed the acquisitions of Abgenix and Avidia; it also struck a collaboration with Cytokinetics in the cardiovascular space. Said Sharer, this set of results and activities is a real expression of Amgen’s strategy for trying to develop innovative medicines for grievous illnesses: to reach outside the company when they can while fundamentally pursuing organic growth with a heavy R&D investment-based strategy. When it comes to M&A activity, “Our first preference is to in-license the molecule. If we need to buy a company to get the molecule, then we do it,” said Sharer, using Abgenix as an example. “But we don’t have any desire to try to change the nature of our company through some major transaction,” explaining that Amgen’s focus is on getting good products, and that, historically, half its pipeline has come from outside the company. “I think that’s healthy. We’re constantly looking outside the company and—within reason—will pay up for good opportunities,” said Sharer.   

Amgen is projecting solid growth in 2007, estimating total revenue will be in the range of $15.4–16 billion (8–12% growth), and anticipating adjusted earnings per share to range from $4.30–4.50 (10–15% growth).  

Sharer updated the progress of a few of Amgen’s pipeline drugs, noting positive results from its AMG 531 (an Fc-peptide fusion protein) immune thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) and AMG 706 (motesanib diphosphate) thyroid cancer trials. Negative results were reported from its Aranesp (darbepoetin alfa) anemia of cancer trial. Also of potential concern to investors is Vectibix’s response-rate data from the PACCE study.  

Tackling Aranesp’s utility in anemia of cancer, Sharer noted that this off-label indication of the drug might actually account for as much as 10% of Aranesp’s sales (Aranesp is labeled for chemotherapy-induced anemia). The disappointing Phase III study evaluated anemic patients with active cancer, who were not receiving chemotherapy or radiotherapy, and showed there was a higher death risk in the Aranesp arm of the trial. Sharer points out that the study population was comprised of very sick patients—approximately 60% of patients had advanced (Stage IV) disease. He emphasized that this study and its results are unrelated to Aranesp’s on-label indication for chemotherapy-induced anemia.  

Next up: Vectibix, which is performing well on the market for its labeled indication. However, response-rate data from the PACCE (Panitumumab Advanced Colorectal Cancer Evaluation) study (evaluating Vectibix in first-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer with or without bevacizumab plus chemotherapy) did not address the primary end point of progression-free survival. However, there were no unexpected adverse experiences. An interim analysis of safety and efficacy (including progression-free survival after 25% of events have accrued) is expected to be available in the second quarter of 2007. Enrollment is underway for first- and second-line colorectal cancer registrational trials. “PACCE is not the be all and end all for Vectibix,” Sharer said about exploring other Vectibix trials. “I’m confident the clinical data are there and we’ll be able to deliver in the market place.”  

Sharer also talked about Amgen’s patent dispute with Roche. Amgen has filed a lawsuit in federal court against Roche, claiming that Roche’s anemia treatment Mircera (currently under FDA review with a decision expected around May) violates Amgen patents. Roche’s CEO has said that if Mircera is approved, they will launch the drug regardless of the ongoing patent dispute. “If Roche launches, they will certainly get business,” said Sharer, noting it’s impossible to hold 100% market share forever. “But we think we have good defenses,” adding that Amgen’s 2007 guidance is wider than normal because “we’ve put in our own thinking about what might happen.”  

The trial is scheduled to begin September 7. In the meantime, Amgen has the option to ask for a preliminary injunction that would prevent Roche from selling Mircera in advance of the trial, in the event it is approved. Amgen is carefully considering the potential ramifications of such a move and has not decided whether or not it will seek the preliminary injunction. “The judge may not want to hear the case twice [once for deciding on the preliminary injunction and again when the case goes to trial],” Sharer explained. “And if a preliminary injunction were denied, that would put pressure on the stock.” He is confident that Amgen will win in court.

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