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Pharmaceutical Discovery, Sep 1, 2005 
Can Medical Image Analysis Change the Economics of Drug Development?
Edward Ashton

On Predicting Side Effects and the Limitations of Rational Drug Design
The success and fall of blockbuster drugs offers insights into the long road toward personalized medicine.
Lukas K. Buehler
Pharmaceutical Discovery

Lukas K. Buehler
Are drugs safe? This is an obvious question given that widely popular drugs are being taken off the market at a steady rate. Some of these drugs are highly recognizable products — since they are so heavily advertised — making problems all the more obvious and relevant for a large number of people. Vioxx (Merck & Co. Inc., Whitehouse Station, New Jersey, USA), an anti-inflammatory; Baycol (Bayer AG, Leverkusen, Germany), a cholesterol lowering drug; Rezulin (Parke-Davis/Warner-Lambert; now Pfizer, New York, New York, USA), an anti-diabetic and Fen-Phen (Wyeth-Ayerst, Madison, New Jersey, USA), appetite suppressants, all have been taken off the market after years of enjoying a striking increase in amount and duration of use. What these drugs have in common is their extreme popularity, which may have contributed to the problem. They were being used by a very large number of people and over increasingly longer time periods to treat chronic problems, or even as lifestyle choice (Fen-Phen was used for weight loss, most likely by people who were merely overweight rather than morbidly obese). Rare but severe toxicity problems injured and killed people, though these were problems that were found to affect fewer than 1 in 1000 individuals. Clinical trials are not just designed to catch such rare events.

This column is not the place to discuss risk assessment. The key question rather is this: how can the pharmaceutical industry avoid developing drugs for chronic ailments like arthritis and obesity that within a few years of use turn out to be unnecessarily dangerous? In addition to negotiating what constitutes acceptable risk, the obvious solution to readers of this column is to reduce risk by finding ways of anticipating complications before a new molecular entity is brought into clinical trial stages. In other words, solve the problem during the early stages of drug design.

 



Predictive toxicology and toxicogenomics will be leading the research efforts in this area, assessing risk based on genetic predisposition. Expectations for both new sciences fly high based on the progress being made in molecular modeling, bioinformatics and proteomics. Predictive toxicology goes beyond the familiar turf of understanding a single structure–function relationship of a drug molecule. The goal is to know in advance who will benefit from a drug, who is affected by side effects and who isn't. That is to say, treat the problem, not from the drug's point of view but from the patient's point of view.

Speaking of patients, I think the current debates on the safety of blockbuster drugs are particularly useful not only to improve our understanding of personalized medicine but also to better inform the public about a very real and relevant aspect of science: how drugs are made and what they can and cannot do. Let's take a closer look at the Cox-2 inhibitors, the recent withdrawal of Vioxx and why we just might have reached the limits of rational drug design. Vioxx was approved by the FDA in 1999 as a non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) for the relief of the signs and symptoms of osteoarthritis, the management of acute pain in adults and the treatment of menstrual symptoms; it was later approved for the relief of the signs and symptoms of rheumatoid arthritis in adults and as a painkiller for children. Vioxx is a member of a chemical class of anti-inflammatory drugs that lessen gastrointestinal morbidity and mortality symptoms (e.g., ulcers, bleeding) often associated with the non-specific NSAIDs ibuprofen, naproxen and aspirin. Turns out, we may have traded one problem for another one. In September 2004, Vioxx was voluntarily pulled off the market because of a demonstrated increased risk in heart disease when administered at high dosage and for more than 18 months (clinical trials for FDA approval usually last no more than 11 months).

Cox-2 inhibitors are without a doubt marvels of modern biotechnology. They stem from our understanding of the biological mechanism of NSAIDs and provide a stunning example of the successful application of rational drug design principles. NSAIDs target the enzyme cyclooxygenase (Cox) that converts omega-3 and omega-6 fatty acids into prostaglandins and thromboxans. This enzyme comes in five variants: Cox-1 and Cox-1b (Cox-3) are two constitutive enzymes important for controlling fluid balance and platelet aggregation. In addition, our body has three Cox-2 isoforms, two of which are inducible (1). The inducible isoforms produce the inflammatory prostaglandin PGE2 involved in pathophysiological reflexes that cause fever and pain — mechanisms that alert the brain to imminent tissue damage due to infection and injury. The steroidal anti-inflammatory cortisol interferes with the pain pathway by inhibiting the gene expression of Cox-2 (2).

Traditional NSAIDs like aspirin (introduced in 1897) inhibit all cyclooxygenase isoforms. In particular, they have been shown to suppress thromboxan A2 formation via Cox-1 inhibition, thereby contributing to gastrointestinal bleeding in some patients. Instead of trying to understand why some but not all patients are afflicted by gastrointestinal side effects, the problem was solved by bypassing Cox-1 altogether — thus the search for Cox-2 specific inhibitors. In the early 90s, only the constitutive Cox-1 and one inducible Cox-2 isoform were known. Armed with the high-resolution structure of these cyclooxygenase proteins, it became clear that increasing the size of the inhibitor would prevent them from binding to Cox-1, which unlike Cox-2 has a hydrophobic amino acid in the binding site. Thus, the bulkier Cox-2 inhibitors are prevented from binding to the active site of Cox-1. This is rational drug design at its best. The next step involved modifying functional groups around the pharmacophore of the new molecular entity (3) with the goal of improving Cox-2 specificity and strength of binding to allow the administration of lower dosages. This resulted in several new Cox-2 inhibitors being put on the market. However, this step did not address the molecule's pharmacokinetics (i.e., how the drug behaves systemically). While all Cox-2 inhibitors do what all NSAIDs are doing — relieve pain — there remained differences in drug-specific risk profiles. For example, while Vioxx was pulled from the market, related Cox-2 inhibitors were found to have less pronounced side effects.

This raises two questions that I'd like to address briefly. First, how can one out of several drugs in the same class targeting the same enzyme be more toxic than the others? Why Vioxx and not Celebrex (Pfizer)? Second, could it be possible to foresee cardiovascular risk due to prolonged use of Cox-2 inhibitors — or of any drug, for that matter? Answering these questions brings us back to a familiar topic — the complexity of biological systems.

It's easy to invoke complexity in biology, of course, and one might be tempted to use it as a proxy to sound smart when in fact we do not understand actual mechanisms — or worse we don't even know what kind of questions to ask. Still, the complexity is real and I want to take the opportunity to chart basic physiological principles that, in my view, foil any attempt of accurately predicting the action of an untested drug, if the only thing we know about it is its molecular structure (4). For instance, a small change in a ligand structure can make an enormous difference in its physiology. Consider the cholesterol-derived hormones estradiol and cortisol — one a female sex hormone, the other a stress hormone that regulates energy metabolism, blood pressure and cardiovascular function. In hindsight, knowing that cortisol acts by reducing Cox-2 levels, one might suspect that Cox-2 inhibitors affect cardiovascular function as well — the apparent problem for Vioxx.

There is nothing new or unusual, really, in these observations. What should be surprising to researchers in drug development is how much we still depend on trial and error stages – from high-throughput screening to animal tests and clinical trials. Part of the problem may simply be a lack of knowing all the physiological details. Cox-2, for instance, comes in an unforeseen constitutive isoform with wide tissue distribution, in addition to its inducible response during inflammation, as originally found. This constitutive use of an enzyme isoform likely explains the increased risk for heart disease now associated with Vioxx. But this does not explain why Vioxx increases the cardiovascular risk more than other Cox inhibitors. True, Vioxx may bind more strongly to the target or bind to other proteins because of a structural difference (e.g., carrying a methylsulfonyl group instead of the more common sulfonamide [as in Celebrex], a big difference in the local charge). A solution might come from structural genomics through ab initio prediction of ligand binding sites from DNA sequences. However, protein structure prediction at this detailed level is not always reliable.

I strongly believe that not lack of facts but the inherent hierarchical organization of complex systems is the real roadblock preventing accurate predictions of higher-level functions (here, for how an organ responds to a drug) from molecular structures alone (5). No matter what the structure, any particular drug has the following biological rules that always apply. To keep it simple, the use of the term "drug" refers to any ligand, natural or synthetic, including physiological metabolites and signaling molecules. The term "target" refers to any protein, be they enzymes, transporters, structural proteins or receptors.

1. Know your competitors: several drugs exist for the same target (competitive and non-competitive; agonist and antagonist).

2. Know your target: a single drug has multiple targets that play unique roles in different physiological contexts; for instance, the hormone epinephrin either constricts or dilates blood vessels, depending on the adrenergic receptor type found in the smooth muscle cells lining the vessel.

3. Know your target's distribution: a target may be found in just one or several tissues/organs, contributing to one or more (patho-) physiologies. For instance, gap junction protein Cx26 is expressed in both the inner ear and liver; a mutant Cx26 causes deafness (6), but has no apparent effect on liver function.

4. Know your pathways: a target may be part of different metabolic or signal transduction pathways interacting with different proteins. In the inner ear, Cx26 is paired with Cx30, but in the liver with Cx32, possibly explaining that protein–protein interactions play a crucial role in determining the (dys)function of the Cx26 mutant in the inner ear.

5. Know your drug interactions: situations 1 through 4 explain why drugs interact with other drugs in unforeseen ways.

6. Know your genes: allelic variants (mutations) of targets may alter an individual's response to a drug along situations 1 through 5.

The list above is not meant to be all-inclusive, and many subtle effects — some still to be discovered — play crucial roles in physiological processes. For instance, a target may be involved in more than one cellular function (dual-function proteins), as demonstrated by a recent publication exploring the link between the Krebs cycle enzyme aconitase and mitochondrial DNA maintenance (7). Research into the controls of signal transduction pathways by metabolic enzymes (rather than the other way around) is an exciting new development in biochemistry and will change the way we think about the role of metabolic enzymes in general.

The point here is that a large number of endocrine and nervous signaling mechanisms are involved in maintaining a healthy body and may do so differently in different people due to allelic variations. In the short term, lowering risk based on a patient's genetic background can contribute to better use of many drugs, improve their safety profile and strengthen public acceptance of the drug approval process.

Having said all this, the problems facing Cox-2 inhibitors is not acute toxicity but long-term effects. Their advertised purpose, of course, is to treat chronic pain, and therein lays an entire new challenge for predictive toxicology. Unlike interventive medicine (e.g., using antibiotics to fight a bacterial infection or chemotherapy to destroy tumors), our body responds to persisting conditions by adjusting its internal states. Weight gain, insulin resistance and drug tolerance all are examples of such adjustments. I shall come back to this issue in later columns.

Lukas K. Buehler is an adjunct professor at Southwestern College in Chula Vista, California USA, and the founder of SciScript Inc., in San Diego, California of San Diego's Extension Bioscience Program. He can be reached at

References

1. T.D. Warner and J.A. Mitchell, PNAS 99(21), 13371–13373 (2002).

2. M.T. Rae et al., J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab.89(9), 4538–4544 (2004).

3. A. Palomer et al., J. Med. Chem.45(7), 1402–1411 (2002).

4. L.K. Buehler, Pharma DD 3(5), 20–21 (2003).

5. L.K. Buehler, Pharma DD 4(6), 24–26 (2004).

6. D.P. Kelsell et al., Nature 387(6628), 80–83 (1997).

7. X.J. Chen et al., Science 307(5710), 714–717 (2005).