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Pharmaceutical Discovery, Sep 1, 2005 
Can Medical Image Analysis Change the Economics of Drug Development?
Edward Ashton

Can Medical Image Analysis Change the Economics of Drug Development?
Advances in medical imaging analysis shedding new light on disease structure and function over time. In this article, we examine the potential of imaging biomarkers and other studies to improve the drug discovery and development process at every stage.
Edward Ashton
Pharmaceutical Discovery

In the past decade, medical science has made great strides toward the understanding of cellular biochemistry and the mechanisms of disease. But as basic science has blossomed with the sequencing of the genome and the advent of proteomics, the applied sciences have failed to keep pace. Despite tremendous innovation in the methods used to derive new compounds, the prevailing methods for testing them have remained essentially the same for decades. A disease state is induced in a cohort of laboratory animals — tumor cells are injected under the skin, for example — and later the experimental treatment is administered to some or all of the subjects. After a period of weeks or months, the animals are sacrificed and a pathologist makes an assessment of disease progression or regression.

This histology provides a glimpse of the disease state at one point in time. But what did it look like before treatment was started? What would it have looked like in another six weeks? Did the experimental compound behave in the way that scientists expected it would? That the prevailing method of drug testing in preclinical studies fails to answer these questions and others underscores a fundamental imbalance in drug discovery today that was addressed in the comprehensive FDA white paper, "Innovation or Stagnation, Challenge and Opportunity on the Critical Path to new Medical Products" (1). The paper repeatedly made the point that the drug industry is using the tools of the last century to evaluate this century's advances.

The development of this white paper, under the leadership of former FDA commissioner Mark B. McClellan, marked a seminal event in the history of drug development in the United States. In the document, FDA calls for new development tools, specifically mentioning imaging as a potential solution to the drug development bottleneck faced by the pharmaceutical industry. Rarely has there been such early goal alignment between FDA and the pharmaceutical R&D community around new approaches to drug development.

A new field — let's call it imageonomics — rapidly is emerging. Just as the sequencing of the genome led to genomics and the study of the role of proteins led to proteomics, so advances in medical imaging analysis technology are creating a field that sheds new light on disease progression by enabling the precise measurement of small changes in structure and function over time. This opens a new quantitative window into disease progression. The measurement units of this field, image-based biomarkers, have been singled out by FDA as promising tools for every stage of drug development, from preclinical research to the approval process.

At the Fifth National Forum on Biomedical Imaging in Oncology (Bethesda, Maryland, USA) on January 29, 2004, the director of FDA's Center for Drug Evaluation & Research, Janet Woodcock, said, "There is tremendous potential for the use of imaging in drug development...from preclinical [applications] all the way to using surrogate markers for approval." While the use of imaging endpoints by FDA for drug approval has been somewhat limited in the past, the white paper and subsequent comments signal a readiness to assess their use in the future.

Not surprisingly, leading pharmaceutical companies such as Pfizer (New York, New York, USA) are discovering the enormous potential for medical imaging in drug discovery and development to close the gap between the burgeoning basic sciences and the lagging applied sciences. These companies have invested millions of dollars in developing medical imaging technology.

While it generally is acknowledged that medical imaging holds the potential to make drug discovery and development more efficient, the best practices for applying it to preclinical and clinical research still are emerging. At the preclinical stage, advanced medical imaging analysis provides a powerful tool to assess method of action, ensure the transition of data from preclinical to clinical studies and achieve the reproducibility required for studies that use a relatively small number of subjects. In this article we will discuss the practical aspects of applying quantitative medical imaging to preclinical research and the substantial savings in time and money that imaging lends to drug discovery and development.

Room for Improvement

Recent scientific advances including the development of targeted therapies and the sequencing of the human genome have brought about massive changes in the business of drug discovery and development. Large companies that once had relatively few compounds in development now juggle hundreds of potential drugs in the pipeline. For the industry to sustain itself, companies must devise ways to quickly identify promising compounds and cull ineffective ones, because the price of failure is enormous. Acting FDA commissioner Lester Crawford stated that in 2002 some estimates put the average cost of developing a new drug at $1.7 billion (2). With this level of spending, says Crawford, "A mere two percent improvement in predicting product failures in clinical trials could save $100 million in development costs per drug." The Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development estimated that it costs $808 million, on average, to develop and win market approval for a new drug in the United States (3). The study states that better preclinical screens, to increase success rates from the current 21.5% to one in three, could reduce capitalized total cost per approved drug by $242 million.

The Importance of Automation

Medical image analysis can reduce late-stage attrition dramatically because it offers more accurate information much earlier in the drug development process. As an example, dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) is able to provide information about blood flow and vessel permeability in tumors. This information allows a relatively small trial to quickly determine whether a compound designed to attack the tumor's blood supply is having the desired effect. Whereas Phase I clinical trials normally focus on dosage and safety, studies that incorporate imaging analytics also can test for drug efficacy, offering information that can save millions of dollars by allowing companies to better prioritize their drug pipelines and make go/no-go decisions much earlier. In preclinical research, scientists can test a method of action and lay the foundation for a more streamlined clinical trial process from Phase I through Phase III by obtaining critical information about efficacy.

 

Figure 1. An MRI scan of the brain of a multiple sclerosis patient. Notice that the lesions are irregular in shape, with indistinct borders. This makes precise specification of the lesion boundaries very difficult to do by hand, leading to the potential for high variability among analysts.
The value of medical image analysis stems from quantification and automation. While the primary shortcoming of standard endpoints (such as pain or functionality scoring) is that they are largely subjective and difficult to reproduce, imaging allows the replacement of a subjective evaluation — knee pain ranked on a scale of 1 to 10 — with an objective quantification — cartilage volume in cubic millimeters. Two subjects with the same degree of disease might report very different levels of pain. Quantitative imaging removes this arbitrary aspect from the clinical trial process (4). Automation in the image analysis process — using a computer algorithm to measure lesion size rather than a clinician with a ruler — provides a degree of accuracy and reproducibility that cannot be duplicated by manual techniques. A good example of this phenomenon is provided by the measurement, using magnetic resonance imaging of lesion burden in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients. MS lesions generally are irregularly shaped and tend to have fuzzy, indistinct boundaries (Figure 1). As a result, if two well-trained radiologists are asked to measure the total lesion burden for a given MS patient by manually tracing the lesion boundaries, the results they generate will differ by an average of 20%. Even asking a single radiologist to analyze the same data set twice likely will result in measurement variability of 7% or more. Introducing automation into this process can reduce this variation to 2% or less (5), allowing clinical trials to be carried out with a fraction of the subjects and in significantly less time.

For preclinical studies, reproducibility is equally critical because preclinical groups generally have more limited budgets and timelines, coupled with the need to evaluate increasing numbers of experimental compounds. Highly reproducible measurement techniques allow these groups to achieve statistically significant results with a relatively small number of subjects.

Precise, automated measurement brings another critical benefit: it enables the detection of small changes in structure and function over time. In evaluation of osteoarthritis, for example, MRI of the cartilage in the knee coupled with automated measurement of volume and chemical composition shows disease changes in months; these changes would not be apparent using standard X-ray evaluation for years. With this quality of information, researchers can more confidently make the go/no-go decision for a compound early in the evaluation process, allowing scarce resources to be allocated to the most promising candidates.

Reproducible medical image analysis is driven by algorithms that enable quantitative, volumetric measurement of structures and metabolic functions. Guided by the information present in the images, as well as embedded anatomical knowledge, the algorithms enable segmentation of different tissue types, such as bone, muscle, fat and fluid. From an MRI knee scan, for instance, it is possible to produce a three-dimensional (3-D)reconstruction that graphically distinguishes cartilage from underlying bone, as well as from ligaments, fluid, degenerated menisci or inflamed synovium. This capability provides a valuable assessment tool for clinical research in osteoarthritis — a disease with multiple endpoints — because it allows the very sensitive and specific measurement of all the components of the knee joint and the detection of small changes in any of those components over time.

In oncology studies, the benefits of a volumetric, automated approach to image analysis become abundantly clear. The current standard approach to tumor measurement is based upon the response evaluation criteria in solid tumors (RECIST) guidelines. RECIST measurements are uni-dimensional (longest diameter) and limited to the axial imaging plane. These measurements often are made from printed films using a ruler or a pair of calipers.

 

Figure 2. A tumor pre-treatment (a) and post-treatment (b). Standard uni-dimensional measurement had shown only a 5% decline in size. However, volume analysis shows this tumor has lost over 70% of its bulk.
Most researchers will concede that a single diameter measurement does not provide all the information needed to determine if a tumor is responding to therapy in many cases (Figure 2). However, a full evaluation of the tumor volume generally has been considered to be too time-consuming and not reproducible enough for use in clinical trials. Automated tumor segmentation addresses both of these issues, providing accurate and reproducible volumetric measurement without requiring a great deal of valuable time from oncologists or radiologists.

Functional Imaging Techniques

In addition to structural measurements such as size, thickness or shape, properly utilized medical imaging can allow the assessment of functional parameters. Functional imaging encompasses a wide variety of imaging techniques, including functional MRI (fMRI), DCE-MRI, dynamic contrast-enhanced computed tomography (DCE-CT) and positron emission tomography (PET). These methods allow the assessment of the metabolic activity of an organ or lesion through the measurement of markers such as tissue blood volume, blood flow, oxygen utilization or glucose metabolism.

In the clinic, functional imaging makes it possible to distinguish between scar tissue and viable tumor, and in some cases between benign lesions and malignant ones. In drug development, functional imaging allows the direct measurement of drug effects that otherwise would only be observable indirectly, through their influence on patient survival or well-being. For instance, functional measurement allows researchers to test the efficacy of anti-angiogenesis compounds that cut off blood flow to tumors. Several functional imaging modalities — including DCE-MRI, DCE-CT and dynamic PET — allow the direct measurement of parameters such as blood flow, blood volume, and vessel permeability. These methods work by measuring the concentration of an injected tracer in the blood and in the target tumor every few seconds for several minutes. The form and magnitude of the resulting time-concentration curves then are fitted to a model that produces the measured parameters (6). However, functional imaging does impose an additional burden on the radiologist. Obtaining a measurement of tissue blood flow from a DCE-MRI scan requires the application of a complex statistical model, and currently there is no standardized commercial software available to accomplish this. Various academic groups have shown coefficients of variation for DCE-MRI measurements ranging from 6% to 45%. Clearly, it is vital for researchers and clinicians interested in these modalities to partner with individuals or companies with experience and expertise in both image acquisition and data modeling and measurement.

Measuring vascular perfusion and permeability using DCE-MRI has proven to be an effective tool for determining the efficacy of anti-angiogenesis compounds that are intended to cut off blood flow to tumors. Pfizer recently used DCE-MRI in a clinical trial setting to evaluate the effects of an anti-angiogenesis compound designed to inhibit the action of multiple targets, including vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and tyrosine kinase (TK) (4). The primary objectives for the Phase I study were to determine the maximum tolerated dose and to assess safety. In the past, these would have been the study's only goals. However, because Pfizer now recognizes the imperative to kill ineffective compounds as quickly as possible, DCE-MRI also was built into this trial to determine whether the compound was having the desired inhibitory effect on vascular function.

Because early-phase trials make use of a relatively small number of subjects, measurement precision is vital if any useful information is to be taken from them. For this reason, Pfizer contracted with VirtualScopics (Rochester, New York, USA) to provide supervision and quality assurance at the imaging sites and high-quality functional analytics. This trial was able to successfully demonstrate a strong relationship between drug dosage and vascular effect measured by DCE-MRI and also some correlation between vascular effect and tumor shrinkage. Because of this trial, Pfizer was able to confidently push this compound further down the development pipeline (4).

Applications in Neurology and Cardiology

In evaluating diseases of the brain, automated medical image analysis is particularly useful. Because the brain has no moving parts and has a fairly consistent structure from person to person, it is possible to generate a generalized map, or anatomic atlas, of the location and shape of many of its important structures. Under the supervision of a neuroradiologist, this map can then be applied to a series of patient scans to provide a consistent measurement of neural structures that frequently have unclear or even arbitrary boundaries.

 

Figure 3. The hippocampus, as seen in two MRI brain scans. (a) The boundary between the hippocampal head and the amygdala. (b) The boundary between the hippocampal tail and the caudate nucleus.
A good example of an important but difficult to measure neural structure is the hippocampus, a gray matter structure of the brain that is involved in a number of functions, including the formation of long-term memory. Changes in the hippocampus are implicated in a number of diseases, including intractable temporal lobe epilepsy and Alzheimer's disease. The hippocampus is adjacent to and difficult to separate from other gray matter structures, including the amygdala and the caudate nucleus (Figure 3). Manual measurements of the hippocampus are difficult to reproduce because there is no clearly visible boundary with these structures. An automated measurement technique using an anatomical atlas might not always agree with any particular radiologist. However, experiments have shown that any given radiologist is unlikely to precisely agree even with himself if asked to measure the same scan a week or two later (5, 7). When tracking changes over time the key factor is reproducibility, and in that area automated methods provide a significant advantage.

Medical image analytics also have shown great promise in cardiology and angiography. It was long thought that the key danger sign in the assessment of arterial disease was vascular occlusion — the narrowing or blockage of the coronary or carotid arteries. However, it is now known that large vascular plaques can form in key arteries without narrowing the lumen at all, by pushing the outer wall of the vessel outward rather than pushing the inner wall inward. Such plaques either can be relatively harmless or deadly, depending on what is inside them and how likely they are to break open, spilling their contents into the blood stream. The most dangerous plaques have thin walls and large liquid cores filled with lipids and other substances. When these plaques burst, the contents quickly form clots, which can then lodge in the brain, heart or lungs.

With the proper acquisition parameters, MRI can allow the identification and measurement of vascular plaques. More importantly, it also can allow the determination of the plaque composition. This makes it possible for surgeons to distinguish between a relatively benign plaque that can be left for future observation, and a potentially deadly one that requires immediate surgery.

Assessing Method of Action

In preclinical studies, perhaps the greatest value of imaging analytics lies in early assessment of method of action. Whereas histology provides limited insight into the effects of a compound, image analysis demonstrates whether or not the drug behaves in the way that researchers predicted it would. Did a compound bind to a particular receptor? Did it inhibit blood flow or the development of blood vessels? Did it attack metabolic activity? Having these questions answered at the preclinical stage enables researchers to optimize clinical research from Phase I through Phase III.

Biomarkers

Medical imaging analysis enables researchers to take advantage of recent innovation in the development of image-based biomarkers from the nation's universities and from organizations such as the Center for Biomarkers in Imaging (Charlestown, MA, USA), a joint effort between Massachusetts General Hospital (Boston, Massachusetts, USA) and the Harvard-MIT Division of Health Sciences and Technology (Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA). The introduction of new biomarkers provides greater opportunity to study the mechanisms of action in a preclinical setting. One advantage here is that researchers' predictions can be verified through histology at the end of the study.

It is important to bear in mind, however, that these biomarkers are not easy either to acquire or to extract and analyze. Full exploitation of the information available through medical imaging requires access to a multidisciplinary team, including radiologists, physicists and software developers. It is tempting for research groups with strong expertise in one or two of these areas to believe that they can avoid the need for the others. Academic groups in engineering, for example, are well known for developing answers to questions that the medical community is not asking, while radiology groups commonly attempt complex analytics using undocumented freeware. Tight communication between these groups is absolutely essential for the successful application of image-based biomarkers to either academic or clinical research.

Translational Medicine

The translation of preclinical results to clinical trials traditionally has been one of the most challenging stages in drug development. One key reason has been the inability to follow a consistent set of biomarkers from preclinical studies, where the primary endpoint might be histology after dissection, through to Phase III human trials, where the primary endpoint might be a subjective pain score. Imageonomics bridges this gap by allowing a single set of biomarkers — for example, cartilage volume assessed by MRI — to be applied both to preclinical and clinical studies. This greatly increases the chances that results in human trials will show some consistency with those in preclinical animal experiments.

The key to successfully transitioning preclinical work into clinical studies lies in minimizing the differences between the two. The imaging protocols used in the preclinical and clinical studies should be as consistent as is practically possible. In a DCE-MRI imaging study, for example, the injection processes for the contrast agent should be comparable, as should the frequency of imaging. At the same time, the analytics must be consistent. If possible, the analysis software that is intended for use in the clinical studies should be used for the preclinical work as well. This means that preclinical studies must be carried out using regulatory-compliant software and processes, which adds an additional burden to the preclinical research group. However, the benefits both in terms of consistency with clinical research and improved reliability for the preclinical analytics themselves generally will outweigh the additional costs.

Applying Medical Imaging to Pre-clinical Research

To incorporate medical imaging into a study, two major decisions first must be made: 1) how to acquire the images and 2) how to analyze the images once they have been acquired. As the use of medical imaging in preclinical research still is emerging, there is no established practice ready to handle image acquisition. Companies either outsource to facilities that offer imaging equipment and technicians to acquire the images for them, or pay for the use of a private facility and handle image acquisition themselves. For image analysis, companies can go one of two ways: they can hire the expertise internally, or outsource it to specialists who have the resources already in place. Automated analysis requires software experts to develop analysis algorithms and graphical user interface engineers, as well as provide staff to handle the database reporting tabulation and to conduct the analysis. Because of the breadth of expertise required, even large companies such as Pfizer, which boast in-house imaging centers, have opted to outsource to companies that specialize in medical image analysis.

Conclusion

Through precise quantitative measurement, imageonomics offers a solution for the imbalance that now exists between the basic and applied sciences in drug discovery and development. Medical image analysis stands to greatly improve the efficiency of preclinical and clinical tests for drug efficacy. It also promises to reveal new and critical insight into the mechanics of disease progression that will benefit all of medical science. The move toward the precision of automated, quantitative measurement represents a natural progression in an industry where accurate information, determined earlier in the process, can make a difference of hundreds of millions of dollars in the costs of developing a single drug. This emerging field of imageonomics offers new solutions to solving the drug bottleneck and overcoming the enormous cost of late-stage attrition.

Edward Ashton is vice president of product development at VirtualScopics. Edward Ashton can be reached at VirtualScopics, 350 Linden Oaks, Rochester, New York 14625 USA. Tel. 585-249-6231 ext. 212; e-mail

*To whom all correspondence should be addressed.

References

1. FDA Web site. http://www.fda.gov. Accessed March 2004.

2. L.C. Crawford, Banc of America Securities Healthcare Institutional Investor Conference, July 7, 2004.

3. Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development, Impact Report, Volume 4, Number 5, September/October 2002.

4. T. McShane et al., Proc. ISMRM 11, 154 (2004).

5. E.A. Ashton, C. Takahashi, M.J. Berg et al., J. Magn. Reson. Imaging 17, 300–308 (2003).

6. P.S. Tofts, J. Magn. Reson. Imaging 7, 91–101 (1997).

7. E.A. Ashton, K.J. Parker, M.J. Berg and C.W. Chen, IEEE-Trans Med Imaging 16, 365–371 (1997).